Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 3.669464 3.904200 4.156738 4.450541 4.785462 5.158479 5.609848
2025-08-03 3.390847 3.722841 4.102570 4.576472 5.163393 5.883165 6.861955
2025-08-10 3.101981 3.480077 3.931645 4.525466 5.310930 6.357028 7.945371
2025-08-17 2.819192 3.207554 3.684847 4.335488 5.237931 6.518276 8.649634
2025-08-24 2.625176 3.022448 3.522796 4.226836 5.246677 6.784428 9.601606
2025-08-31 2.493319 2.902198 3.429072 4.193303 5.349101 7.206328 11.000026
2025-09-07 2.361078 2.770060 3.305931 4.101033 5.344105 7.446760 12.171982
2025-09-14 2.241957 2.646573 3.183729 3.995336 5.299243 7.603460 13.256294
2025-09-21 2.134243 2.531638 3.064701 3.881909 5.224341 7.685847 14.222169
2025-09-28 2.074259 2.477303 3.025943 3.884796 5.342556 8.170540 16.737408
2025-10-05 2.077541 2.508718 3.109913 4.084525 5.835348 9.605064 24.848780
2025-10-12 2.039162 2.479355 3.102480 4.135703 6.063811 10.539167 34.040804
2025-10-19 2.024451 2.488260 3.160819 4.317846 6.621300 12.765936 79.150132
2025-10-26 1.989554 2.466685 3.172214 4.423838 7.060915 15.121168 750.707416
2025-11-02 1.921781 2.393484 3.098203 4.369187 7.132822 16.308357 NaN
2025-11-09 1.832657 2.284819 2.961918 4.187695 6.872577 15.966600 NaN
2025-11-16 1.766100 2.207126 2.871175 4.084069 6.787461 16.404521 NaN
2025-11-23 1.718956 2.156381 2.820763 4.051715 6.874679 17.804164 NaN
2025-11-30 1.664485 2.092357 2.745318 3.964648 6.805938 18.371211 NaN
2025-12-07 1.611138 2.028128 2.666535 3.865094 6.688913 18.601964 NaN
2025-12-14 1.559550 1.964913 2.586780 3.758251 6.537675 18.540508 NaN
2025-12-21 1.531649 1.936766 2.563492 3.760906 6.687376 20.710474 NaN
2025-12-28 1.538283 1.961544 2.629288 3.948670 7.419251 29.975378 NaN